TROPICS UPDATE from Meteorologist Scot Pilie — In my opinion, It’s a lose lose when you bring up disturbances. You don’t talk about it…and people have a million questions. You talk about it, and you’re “that guy.”
In my opinion, it’s better to be the voice and talk factual about it. Here’s the deal:
Yes, there is another tropical disturbance in the Caribbean. Medium 60% chance of development within the next 3-5 days. Next name on the list is #Eta.
No, this is not a risk to the Gulf of Mexico at this time. With multiple cold fronts on the way & blocking high pressure, any development in the Caribbean should remain blocked well south over the next 5 days. Most forecast guidance brings this towards landfall in Nicaragua.
A few forecast model guidance brings this towards the western Caribbean in 4-5 days. We will watch it, but it is of no concern to the northern Gulf Coast at this time.
Hurricane season runs until November 30th.