Fred track shifts farther west, Tropical Storm Grace behind

Tracking the Tropics

Fred is now no longer a tropical depression after moving off of land and into open water, but the forecast for intensity remains unchanged. The system will move west toward the Alabama, Mississippi border before making landfall as a tropical storm again Monday. All of the Mississippi Gulf Coast and parts of Louisiana’s coast are now included in the cone.

Windspeeds will likely be between 50 miles per hour and 60 miles per hour, but there’s the chance rapid intensification in the 24 hours before landfall could occur. Windspeeds much reach 74 miles per hour to be classified as a category one hurricane.

Today, we are watching this system to see if its center reorganizes. If the system redevelops a reorganized center early enough, a category one hurricane at landfall could be possible. The overall speed will likely slow down before landfall, too, to create potential flooding issues along and east of wherever Fred’s center tracks onshore before moving inland.

Tropical Storm Grace is behind Fred with a similar forecast for intensity. In the beginning, Fred’s path looked just like Grace’s right now. Over the past couple of days, Grace’s path has shifted considerably west, as well. We are watching both systems very closely for potential track shifts. Right now, there are no concerns locally as both look to stay east of New Orleans and much of Louisiana’s coastline.

Join in for forecast updates and the latest track information on WGNO News at 6PM and 10PM tonight.

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