NOAA expects an above average hurricane season according to its prediction released Thursday morning.
The official forecast indicates 13-19 named storms, 6-10 hurricanes, 3-6 major hurricanes. The average number of named storms per season is 12.
Right now they are listing the chance of an above normal season at 60%, normal season at 30%, and only a 10% chance the season comes in below normal.
According to NOAA “the combination of several climate factors is driving the strong likelihood for above-normal activity in the Atlantic this year. El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions are expected to either remain neutral or to trend toward La Nina, meaning there will not be an El Nino present to suppress hurricane activity.
Also, warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea, coupled with reduced vertical wind shear, weaker tropical Atlantic trade winds, and an enhanced west African monsoon all increase the likelihood for an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season.
Start making your preparations now for the upcoming season. Keep in mind there will be additional issues to plan for due to the Covid-19 pandemic. This could impact hotels, where you evacuate, and also local shelter availability.
As always, it only takes one storm to make it a bad year for you. Stay with WGNO on air and online for the latest.