Tropical Depression Fred continues to poorly disorganized as it slows down moving west-northwest Friday morning. No significant strengthening is forecast in the next day or so. The key thing to watch will be how far away from the Florida peninsula Fred stays as it moves past Cuba.
Heavier storms remain well to the south of the center. This means Fred will likely stay weak for now. Models continue to agree on a landfall somewhere along the Florida panhandle, although west of the current NHC forecast is possible. If the system does move more to the west it has a chance to be stronger.
Locally over the next few days we will continue to see above normal rain chances. Right now the coverage on Friday looks to be a bit less widespread than the past couple of days. Look for temperatures to climb into the upper 80s and low 90s by late in the morning before rain begins to develop.
Activity will be isolated early and then become a bit more widespread. Look for locally heavy downpours with the strong activity as well as frequent lightning.