Tracking the Tropics: Subtropical storm likely to develop in the Atlantic this weekend

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TAMPA, Fla. (WFLA) – The official start to hurricane season is still a few weeks away, but the National Hurricane Center is already monitoring an area for potential tropical development north of the Bahamas.

broad area of low pressure is likely to form just north of the Bahamas late this week or early this weekend.

Preseason tropical development is never out of the question. In fact, every year for the past five years, a named storm has formed before June 1.

The current environment is conducive for the gradual development of a subtropical depression or storm to form as the disturbance moves over the western Atlantic later this week. The NHC is giving it a 70% chance for formation.

All model guidance suggest this will stay weak and out in the open ocean.

Increased rain chances are in the forecast for the east coast of Florida starting Thursday. Scattered rain is likely regardless of development through Saturday before the moisture pulls away into the Atlantic on Sunday.

The west coast of Florida will see just a 30% chance for a few scattered showers Friday. Otherwise, west coasters will be unaffected.

If gradual development occurs, the storm would be named Arthur.

Weather Video

6:30PM Thursday: Rain and then a nice weekend

5:30PM Thursday: Cool tonight with rain to follow

11:00AM VIDEO FORECAST -- Terrific Thursday! Rain chances tomorrow evening.

6:00AM VIDEO FORECAST -- Rain chances return late Friday!

5:30AM VIDEO FORECAST -- Walkin on sunshine today! Rain chances late Friday.

10:30PM Thursday: A picture perfect Thursday on the way

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