Threat for severe weather to start the week

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NEW ORLEANS (WGNO) – A much more active weather pattern is in place to start the week across the area which will lead us to our first chance of severe weather this season.

Keep in mind that this time of year is typically a second severe weather season for the deep south, but much of the area has been under a substantial drought.

That is going to change with two storm systems approaching the area. The first of those is a front that moves in Monday evening into Monday night, with the second coming Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.

Ingredients area borderline, but we do have the chance for severe weather in our area. As shown in the first picture, the Storm Prediction Center has the northern half of the area in a slight risk outline, with the more enhance risk farther north. This means that areas along and north of I-12 have a better chance of seeing severe weather in our area.

capture2The forecast model for this evening is not too impressive. However it does indicate the potential for isolated storms after sunset. These will have the potential to produce gusty winds, with an isolated tornado not out of the question farther north.

As usual this is a conditional setup for our area. The better chances of severe weather will remain north of the Mississippi border. However due to this being a night time event, and the fact that it has been so long since we have seen active weather, please be aware of weather conditions later this evening and have a way to receive warnings if they are issued.