New activity in the tropics

As we head into the peak weeks of hurricane season, activity in the Atlantic basin will be increasing.

A new tropical wave has formed in the Eastern Atlantic, with a medium chance for development in the next two days. The National Hurricane Center is giving this area of activity a 40% chance to develop into a tropical depression or tropical storm in the next two days, and a 70 percent chance over the next five days.

The benefit to the United States is the possibility of quick development with this system so far east. Typically, tropical waves that form so far out into the Atlantic have a much better chance of gradually turning north, or being ripped apart by unfavorable conditions as it traverses the Atlantic. If it does develop into a named tropical system, it would become Tropical Storm Fiona.

The National Hurricane Center is still projecting a “near average” hurricane season, and the busiest season since 2012. Keep in mind, this refers to tropical activity, not necessarily landfall events.